The final of the Boxing day games is played today before the long 2 day wait until the next set of games on Saturday.  We go for Blackburn in this game but this is mostly down to the algorithm slating Man City for their 6-0 drubbing at the hands of Chelsea in October.  City’s recent form is certainly better than Blackburn’s and at home they are strong favourites.  Indeed, i’m surprised the market odds are not shorter than 2.3.  Still, the model favours Blackburn and if they do win the fund will be up over the Boxing day games. 

DATE HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value  AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value
27/12/07 Man City 4.73 2.30 -51%  Blackburn 2.39 3.80 59%