The odds produced by the model for today’s Premier league game all appear reasonable.  However, betting against Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham does not give me too much hope of a profitable day.  It’ll be interesting today to see how the away teams get on as I cannot imagine there are too many players happy to travel half the country at New Year.

HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value  AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value
Arsenal 1.45 1.40 -4%  West Ham 6.96 9.60 38%
Aston Villa 2.12 2.66 26%  Tottenham 3.73 3.10 -17%
Fulham 43.78 6.60 -85%  Chelsea 1.90 1.66 -13%
Man United 1.13 1.19 5%  Birmingham 33.82 29.00 -14%
Middlesbrough 2.00 3.25 63%  Everton 3.97 2.54 -36%
Reading 3.17 2.74 -13%  Portsmouth 2.79 2.90 4%