A good day yesterday as all 4 tips were winning bets.  Today’s betting tips are shown and discussed below.  To view a history of all bets and the Fund results in detail go here.  To see a summary of the Fund’s progress against the target £1million go here.

Chelsea v Reading.  Only 8% value in laying Chelsea so only a small stake is taken. Reading market odds of 20 are great value against the algorithm calculated odds but under this new algorithm no backing bets are placed.

Derby v Man City.  A major game for the Fund as there is a massive 98% value on Derby.  Derby have only 1 game all season and Man City are fighting for a place in Europe. However, Man City have gone off the boil in recent games and are not so strong away from home.  A win for Derby would hit the Fund for around 20%.

Everton v Tottenham.  Value in laying both albeit slight for Everton.  Everton should hold off Spurs as they begin to come into a bit of form.

Man Utd v Portsmouth.  Slight value in laying Man U and 80% value on backing Portsmouth.  This game would be an upset for anything other than a home win but that’s what we’re hoping for.

West Ham v Liverpool.  Similar to the Everton game both teams’ odds are showing value in the lay bets. Due to the amount of stake taken on the West Ham bet the Fun would profit from any result except a home win here.

HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake
Chelsea 1.42 1.30 -8%  £1.37  Reading 9.53 20.00 110%  £-  
Derby 262.79 5.60 -98%  £16.39  Man City 2.36 1.76 -26%  £4.27
Everton 2.57 2.52 -2%  £0.37  Tottenham 4.02 3.20 -20%  £3.62
Man United 1.33 1.27 -5%  £0.86  Portsmouth 11.74 20.00 70%  £-  
West Ham 8.76 4.20 -52%  £9.36  Liverpool 2.68 2.06 -23%  £4.16