Success on the Liverpool v West Ham game but only a small profit. That’s the way it’s going to be from now on with these new lower risk funds. At the same time we should see the yield rise.

3 games today due to the F.A. Cup. Pompey have just beaten Man U after Man U had their substitute keeper Kuszczak sent off for bringing down Barros. Van der Sar was substituted at half time and Rio Ferdinand as emergency keeper could not save Muntari’s penalty. Harry is a legend. 1-0 win at Man U; it’s that old F.A. Cup magic.

Today’s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of this post with matches discussed below.

Blackburn v Fulham. Form is with Rovers here and against Fulham. Fulham haven’t won away from home in 30 games. The market odds however do not seem to fully reflect this at 6.80. I wouldn’t have had Fulham on much shorter odds if they were on form personally.

The Funds agree that the market odds are too wide and offer value. The exception is the Trading Fund where I believe regardless of the odds on Fulham the relative form of the 2 teams will ensure a win for Rovers.

Liverpool v Newcastle. Back in 4th spot after a great 4-0 win against West Ham Liverpool are firm favourites. Newcastle still to register a win with ‘King Kev’ and you wouldn’t even fancy them to get a draw today.

All funds back Liverpool and lay Newcastle. There is also a lot of value laying Newcastle as well so it could be a decent amount if it comes off.

Reading v Man City. Reading had a suprising win last week v Middlesbrough which ended a run of bad form. Man City, other than the one-off win v Man U, have lost their good form in the first half of the season.

There’s not alot of value in either teams’ odds here. However all Funds are in agreement and back Reading and lay Man City.

AGGRESSIVE FUND
HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake
Blackburn 1.96 1.62 -17% -£0.88 Fulham 4.00 6.80 70% £-
Liverpool 1.11 1.40 26% £1.36 Newcastle 25.75 11.00 -57% -£2.95
Reading 2.21 2.40 9% £0.45 Man City 3.55 3.50 -1% -£0.08

BALANCED FUND
HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake
Blackburn 1.95 1.62 -17% -£5.09 Fulham 4.02 6.80 69% £-
Liverpool 1.17 1.40 19% £5.89 Newcastle 15.14 11.00 -27% -£8.34
Reading 2.19 2.40 10% £2.96 Man City 3.59 3.50 -2% -£0.73

TRADING FUND
HOME Ex Odds Stake AWAY Ex Odds Stake
Blackburn 1.62 £19.09 Fulham 6.80 -£25.77
Liverpool 1.40 £19.07 Newcastle 11.00 -£49.98
Reading 2.40 £5.00 Man City 3.50 -£6.67