Another profitable Saturday with all funds posting gains. I was most pleased with the Sunderland win as the algorithm saw value in the Black Cat odds. However, there is currently no backing of away teams as results are not consistent enough. Previous incarnations of the algorithm would have likely had Sunderland at wider odds and layed at the market odds of 7.4 leading to a fairly hefty loss.

Today sees the Big 4 earning Sky a few more shiny coins in ad’ revenue. Graphics, whizzing noises and the candid opinions of Andy Gray; what more could you wish for on an Easter Sunday.

Today’s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of this post with matches discussed below.

Chelsea v Arsenal. 2 points separate these teams in P2 and P3 of the Premier league. An strong incentive for Chelsea is that they would leapfrog Arsenal if they beat them at home today. Unless the Gunners can provide some magic from their top players I think this one is Chelsea’s.

Around 6% value backing Chelsea which isn’t alot.

Man United v Liverpool. Man U have won 4 league games on the trot, Liverpool have won 5. Like the Chelsea game, this game will likely be won by a moment of skill which could come from so many players.

The algorithm has all season rated Liverpool higher than the market odds reflect and it shows again today as we lay Man U.

AGGRESSIVE FUND
HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake
Chelsea 2.21 2.34 6% £0.41 Arsenal 3.55 3.70 4% £-
Man United 2.46 2.14 -13% -£0.96 Liverpool 3.26 4.30 32% £-

BALANCED FUND
HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake
Chelsea 2.18 2.34 7% £2.74 Arsenal 3.60 3.70 3% £-
Man United 2.41 2.14 -11% -£4.18 Liverpool 3.32 4.30 30% £-

TRADING FUND
HOME Ex Odds Stake AWAY Ex Odds Stake
Chelsea 2.34 £2.90 Arsenal 3.70 -£0.34
Man United 2.14 -£5.63 Liverpool 4.30 -£11.49