Hoping for a first win this weekend for the Championship Fund after 2 weeks of losses.  That Fund now sits 10% below water.  Looking at the tips shows there is one bet which if it comes in could restore the Fund to a profitable position.  The bet is Barnsley away at Birmingham which at the time of writing was odds of 8.6 offering value of 40% over the models odds.  Whilst it’s unlikely this bet will come in today, the model is geared towards one of these longshots paying off at some point.

Turning to the Premiership, there’s a lay of Middlesbrough and the draw at Liverpool.  These bets make me nervous given an exposure for the Fund of 5% on the draw.  Furthermore, the draw is not an unreasonable result given the performance of the two teams last week.  Other bets of note are another 2 draws being layed at Blackburn v Hull and Fulham v Arsenal.