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	<title>Algorithm Betting &#187; Algorithm structure</title>
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	<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com</link>
	<description>understanding prices, calculating values</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 13:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Championship Preview: Season 08/09</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/25/championship-preview-season-0809/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/25/championship-preview-season-0809/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jul 2008 16:10:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Championship]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting model]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following on from the Premier League Fund, I have adapted the algorithm to the Championship.  As well as adding profits, the addition of a second Fund should also reduce the overall volatility of total invested funds.  This is Markowitz portfolio theory working its statistical magic.  Volatility is reduced since the performance of the Premier League and Championship [...]
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		<title>Premier League Preview: Season 08/09</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/19/premier-league-preview-season-0809/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/19/premier-league-preview-season-0809/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2008 16:42:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting systems]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Still a few weeks to go until the start of the Premier League for 08/09 but I thought I would lay out the expectations for the performance of the Funds for next season. 
After improving the algorithm, the greatest decision i&#8217;ve had to make is what level of risk to take.  On the one side, increasing [...]
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		<title>Monte Carlo forecasting in football betting</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/04/monte-carlo-forecasting-in-football-betting/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/04/monte-carlo-forecasting-in-football-betting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 15:47:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting models]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[monte carlo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following the success of last season, my thoughts obviously turned to whether this can be repeated. Or more accurately, what can be expected from the algorithm betting model in future seasons both in terms of return and the variability of those returns.
&#8220;Monte Carlo&#8221; is the name given to simulations which make use of computer generated random numbers to identify the range [...]
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		<title>Betting results 11 May 08</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/05/14/betting-results-11-may-08/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/05/14/betting-results-11-may-08/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 May 2008 15:26:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Betting results]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Add new tag]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[football]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[sport]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Well, that&#8217;s it; the end of the season. A very profitable one apart from this final week. Whilst there was no financial gain for the Balanced Fund in this last week there was a lot to learn from the divergence in the market&#8217;s and model&#8217;s odds on the relegation and title games.
Quite simply the Balanced [...]
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		<title>Betting results 30 March 08</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/04/01/betting-results-30-march-08/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/04/01/betting-results-30-march-08/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Apr 2008 16:42:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Betting results]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[football]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[sport]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=102</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Newcastle fight-back against Spurs cost me this weekend.  Looks like Kev&#8217; means business after all.
The Aggressive Fund stood by it&#8217;s name as it lost almost 12% this week, though it did gain 24% for the month of March.  This fund is an incarnation of the algorithm which started in September 07.  [...]
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		<title>Yield and pricing the unknown</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Feb 2008 15:25:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[models]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[pricing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[systems]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[unknown]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How useful is yield as a performance measure?
There are many variables to measure the success of a betting system.  These range from the simple &#8217;strike rate&#8217; showing the percentage of bets won to &#8216;yield&#8217; which, by incorporating the potential loss on a bet, includes some measure of risk.  It goes without saying that the longer a system [...]
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		<title>Betting tips 29 January 08</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/29/betting-tips-29-january-08/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/29/betting-tips-29-january-08/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jan 2008 18:58:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Betting tips]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[algorithm]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betfair]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[variance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[wbx]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[yield]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/29/betting-tips-29-january-08/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve been tinkering with the algorithm model over the past week or so.  The result is lower risk and higher yield - the perfect combination.  This is of course based on the results output from the new algorithm.  In some way this goes without saying but I think it&#8217;s always good to remember this point.  If [...]
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		<item>
		<title>Premier League team ratings update</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/14/premier-league-team-ratings-update/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/14/premier-league-team-ratings-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jan 2008 21:15:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[team ratings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/premier-league-team-ratings-update/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are no changes in the top 9 ranking teams this week with Liverpool remaining top and Derby bottom.  The most significant move is Newcastle falling to 19th place after their 6-0 loss to Man U.  This may seem overdone but while they are without a manager they are there for the opposition [...]
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		<title>Half-time in Premier League</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/05/half-time-in-premier-league/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/05/half-time-in-premier-league/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jan 2008 20:38:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[league position]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[man city]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ranking]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/half-time-in-premier-league/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the season half over I have taken a look at how the model&#8217;s ranking of teams compares with their Premier league position.
As can be seen in the table below most teams&#8217; league position is similar to their algorithm ranking.  A ranking above the league position suggests all flare and no substance or plain bad [...]
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		<item>
		<title>Alpha Fund dropped</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/03/alpha-fund-dropped/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/03/alpha-fund-dropped/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jan 2008 20:47:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Betting results]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[fund]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/03/alpha-fund-dropped/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Alpha Fund used level stakes and was a pre-cursor to the percentage stakes Beta Fund.  Results over the past month have shown the Beta Fund to be superior and continuing to monitor the Alpha Fund serves little purpose.  I am therefore going to drop coverage of the Alpha Fund and the Beta will just be [...]
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