The performance of the Funds are now beginning to take shape. At the end of February, the Championship Fund is up 118%, Premier League Fund up 48% and the Trading Fund up 408%. Most of the gains in February have come from Championship tips including yesterday’s tips to back Notts Forest at Reading and Plymouth at Wolves.

Whilst the gains in the Premier League Fund may not seem as impressive as the other Funds, it does have the highest Sharpe Ratio at 2.16, by virtue of it’s low volatility month to month. Having said that, the Championship volatility is mostly high due to the Fund volatility being calculated from just 2 months.

This weekend’s results have driven the Championship Fund to a new high of 142.70, a gain of 42.7% since the start of the season. The backtesting had promised great things for this Fund with gains in excess of those of the Premier League Fund. However, the Fund had spent a lot of the season under water. The model has a tendency to back the underdog and with recent wins for Ipswich at QPR, Barnsley at Swansea and more notably Doncaster at Sheffield United the Fund has very quickly risen to meet those early expectations. Continued

With losses showing for all 3 Funds for October i’m already looking forward to November’s games.  But before then I guess I should try and reflect on the month gone.  It’s not great looking back on a losing month but it may be useful if it can highlight any obvious errors or show it was just part of the randomness of results.

Firstly, a word on Harry’s move to Spurs.  I’ve always believed Harry Redknapp was ‘pound for pound’ the best manager in the Premier League.  Only Martin O’Neill comes close.  If you’re a Chairman in need of silverware and don’t speak Russian then Harry’s your man.  Expect to see some new faces at White Hart Lane come January and forget 40 yard cross-field balls or Cinderella turns.  Harry will build a team of strong, technically gifted players who earn their money and play for the team, not for the glory.  Good luck Harry and good luck to Tony Adams back at Fratton Park.

Continued

It’s been a very profitable month for all 3 of the Algorithm Betting Funds.  Especially pleasing is the performance of the Championship Fund which had a poor start but has returned to the excellent form it showed in backtesting.  The gains in the Fund prices for September are 59% for the Championship, 35% for the Premier League and 81% for the Trading Fund.

The Trading Fund flew through the hurdle of trebling its starting price with gains to date now standing at 266%.  The Premier Fund also now approaches its first hurdle of a doubling in price; the Fund is currently on gains of 94%.  Both of these funds have been operating for around half a season.  The Championship Fund is yet to pass 2 months old and currently stands on gains to date of 23%. Continued

It’s taken 7 weeks of games to come home, but come home it did.  Courtesy of Taylor-Fletcher and a 0-1 away win for Blackpool at Birmingham, the Championship Fund was boosted by 35%.  The odds were 9.6 and the Fund wagered just over 4% after calculating the odds offered 82% value.  Along with other winning bets this weekend the Championship Fund has moved into a positive position overall.  We’ll see over the coming weeks whether it’s a case of one leap forward followed by many small steps back.  It would be nice to stay above water before the next big win comes in.

By contrast the Premier League Fund fell back this weekend mainly due to losses on Liverpool and Pompey.  It does however remain ahead for the month of September.  The portfolio theory of running more than one fund is working well with any significant moves in one fund being offset by the other.  With just one week of games left in September i’m hoping the Trading Fund will break through the hurdle of 200% gains.

Gains for the Premier League Fund and losses for the Championship Fund left a net gain overall for the Trading Fund when the two were put together this weekend. Looking at the historic performance of the Championship Fund shows that like a high-stakes texas hold em tournament, a considerable amount of the gains come from a few wins at long odds. This may leave that Fund under water for a considerable time. It could also continue to weigh on the performance of the Trading Fund. This season could therefore see the Premier League Fund shine as it continues to impress.

Turning to individual matches this weekend, Middlesbrough was a large gain increasing the Premier League Fund by over 8%. It was just a shame the final game of the weekend hit the Fund for almost 6% as Newcastle held Man U to a draw. There were no large gains/losses on the Championship which is to be expected as i’m running it on a low risk strategy until it proves itself. Continued

All funds gained this week with the largest win coming from backing Fulham against Birmingham. The best ROI came from laying Villa at home to Wigan. The Balanced Fund only managed 5 winners from 10 but still gained 4.7%. The Trading and Aggressive Funds gained over 14% and 12% respectively with 8 winning bets from 10 matches.

Although these are good gains in one week they come at a price. The Trading Fund risked more than the value of the Fund in the 10 matches when aggregated compared to an equivalent figure of below 30% for the Balanced Fund. Continued

No strange results in this week’s games after all; worth noting after all the hype that comes at this time of year. Birmingham nearly caused an upset - but didn’t. Although Fulham did win away at Man City, this result in itself is not too surprising given the recent form of both teams. Good luck to Sven as he looks like he’ll be moving again at the end of the season.

As for this week’s performance, there was a rare divergence in the performance of the Funds with the Aggressive and Balanced Funds seeing gains whilst the Trading Fund lost out. I’m surprised the Trading Fund didn’t lose more than 3.5% as it only managed 4 out of 10 winning match bets. Continued

A stellar week of results with all Funds gaining strongly. The Trading Fund performs the best again as it races past 100% growth with a yield of over 8%. The Balanced Fund continues a steady and profitable path with a yield now just shy of 11% and strike rate of 70%.

Continued

Respectable gains this week across the board as all 3 funds turn a profit. The Balanced Fund continues to impress with low variance in earnings week to week and a yield now standing at 9.49% after 122 bets. It also managed 9 winning match bets out of 10 in this weeks games.

As for the targets, the Aggressive Fund is 115 days behind target; the Balanced Fund 17 days ahead and the Trading Fund 121 days ahead. Continued