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	<title>Algorithm Betting &#187; Featured</title>
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	<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com</link>
	<description>understanding prices, calculating values</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 13:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Goodbye Harry</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/10/30/goodbye-harry/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/10/30/goodbye-harry/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 21:05:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Betting results]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Harry Redknapp]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=669</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With losses showing for all 3 Funds for October i&#8217;m already looking forward to November&#8217;s games.  But before then I guess I should try and reflect on the month gone.  It&#8217;s not great looking back on a losing month but it may be useful if it can highlight any obvious errors or show it was [...]
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		<title>Super September</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/10/04/super-september/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/10/04/super-september/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 11:09:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Betting results]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting profits]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[wigan v man city]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been a very profitable month for all 3 of the Algorithm Betting Funds.  Especially pleasing is the performance of the Championship Fund which had a poor start but has returned to the excellent form it showed in backtesting.  The gains in the Fund prices for September are 59% for the Championship, 35% for the Premier [...]
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		<title>Championship Preview: Season 08/09</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/25/championship-preview-season-0809/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/25/championship-preview-season-0809/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jul 2008 16:10:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Championship]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting model]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following on from the Premier League Fund, I have adapted the algorithm to the Championship.  As well as adding profits, the addition of a second Fund should also reduce the overall volatility of total invested funds.  This is Markowitz portfolio theory working its statistical magic.  Volatility is reduced since the performance of the Premier League and Championship [...]
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		<title>Premier League Preview: Season 08/09</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/19/premier-league-preview-season-0809/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/19/premier-league-preview-season-0809/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2008 16:42:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting systems]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Still a few weeks to go until the start of the Premier League for 08/09 but I thought I would lay out the expectations for the performance of the Funds for next season. 
After improving the algorithm, the greatest decision i&#8217;ve had to make is what level of risk to take.  On the one side, increasing [...]
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		<title>Monte Carlo forecasting in football betting</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/04/monte-carlo-forecasting-in-football-betting/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/07/04/monte-carlo-forecasting-in-football-betting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 15:47:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting models]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[monte carlo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Following the success of last season, my thoughts obviously turned to whether this can be repeated. Or more accurately, what can be expected from the algorithm betting model in future seasons both in terms of return and the variability of those returns.
&#8220;Monte Carlo&#8221; is the name given to simulations which make use of computer generated random numbers to identify the range [...]
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		<title>Team ratings update April 08</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/04/12/team-ratings-update-april-08/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/04/12/team-ratings-update-april-08/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2008 12:23:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[football]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[sport]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[team ratings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/?p=110</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been a while since I discussed the Premier League Team ratings on the blog.  With recent changes to the algorithm I thought i&#8217;d record the current team points which you can see in the table below.
The variance versus the teams&#8217; Premier League position is a measure of how well each team is playing [...]
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		<title>Yield and pricing the unknown</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Feb 2008 15:25:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Algorithm structure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[models]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[odds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[pricing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[systems]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[unknown]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/02/17/yield-and-pricing-the-unknown/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How useful is yield as a performance measure?
There are many variables to measure the success of a betting system.  These range from the simple &#8217;strike rate&#8217; showing the percentage of bets won to &#8216;yield&#8217; which, by incorporating the potential loss on a bet, includes some measure of risk.  It goes without saying that the longer a system [...]
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		<title>Guest post: A “Betting Exchange” Case Study – 20% better profit?</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/30/guest-post-a-%e2%80%9cbetting-exchange%e2%80%9d-case-study-%e2%80%93-20-better-profit/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/30/guest-post-a-%e2%80%9cbetting-exchange%e2%80%9d-case-study-%e2%80%93-20-better-profit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jan 2008 18:37:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting exchange]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[horse betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/30/guest-post-a-%e2%80%9cbetting-exchange%e2%80%9d-case-study-%e2%80%93-20-better-profit/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Betting exchanges claim that you will get 20% better prices in horse betting. Better prices to the horse player, simply means making more money from winners!  Great, everyone would want that…if the claim is true.
I decided to put the claim to the test! I created a scenario of betting the horses…at the track, online with [...]
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		<title>Winning betting streaks - Lucky apples</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/18/lucky-apples/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/18/lucky-apples/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 00:49:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[chance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[luck]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/lucky-apples/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A story about how a winning streak can fool and lead to a mispricing of risk.
Rare as apples 
When I was a young lad I remember holding an apple and wondering, in one of my more philosophical moments, how remote the chances were that I should be holding this particular apple.  It was a French apple and [...]
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		<item>
		<title>Bookmakers and betting exchanges - a price comparison</title>
		<link>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/11/bookmakers-and-betting-exchanges-a-price-comparison/</link>
		<comments>http://www.algorithmbetting.com/2008/01/11/bookmakers-and-betting-exchanges-a-price-comparison/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2008 00:43:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Algorithm Betting</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Betting markets]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betdaq]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betfair]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[betting exchanges]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[commission]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ibetx]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ladbrokes]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[price]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[wbx]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.algorithmbetting.com/bookmakers-and-betting-exchanges-a-price-comparison/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#8217;s never been a wider choice of where or how to bet.  You can place bets online with traditional bookmakers such as Ladbrokes or William Hill or at one of the many betting exchanges such as Betfair or WBX.  However, although the product is the same, consider the cost before you place your bets.  And if you still use [...]
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