Hindsight is a wonderful thing.  Indeed it’s almost up there with seeing into the future.  Whilst I do not know what the current algorithm model will do in the future I can see how it performed in the past with the benefit of hindsight.  A somewhat fruitless task but fun nonetheless.

So using the existing model I use week to week I amended the stake sizes (same fixed % for all games) to maximise the fund value as at today.  The model begins betting from the 2000/1 season and so includes 7 1/2 seasons including 2007/8 (5718 bets on 2859 matches!).  The average gain per season (counting this 1/2 season as a full season) is 2774%; i.e. profits of over 27x the starting fund each season.  The maximum return in a season was 9594% in 2003/4 and minimum was 137% in 2002/3; i.e. no losing seasons. 

Continued